CENX Century Aluminum Company

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) stock recently hit a 52-week high of $40.26, marking a significant upward trend with a 120.47% increase over the past year. Despite a miss on Q3 2025 earnings expectations, the stock's market capitalization stands at $3.75 billion, driven by robust performance and a "Buy" rating with a $42.00 price target from Texas Capital Securities. The company's impressive growth comes alongside a high P/E ratio and relatively thin profit margins, with Glencore Plc also looking to sell a significant stake.

This article provides a precision trading analysis for Century Aluminum Company (CENX), highlighting strong sentiment across all horizons and identifying specific risk zones. It details institutional trading strategies including long, momentum breakout, and short positions with defined entry points, targets, and stop losses, based on AI-generated signals and multi-timeframe analysis.

Texas Capital Securities analyst Matt Key initiated coverage on Century Aluminum (CENX) with a "buy" rating and a US$42 target, potentially amplifying investor and trading attention. The investment narrative for Century Aluminum focuses on tight primary aluminum supply, supportive U.S. trade policy, and domestic capacity expansion, particularly with the Mt. Holly restart underpinned by a power agreement extension to 2031. However, the company's valuation remains sensitive to tariff policies and power contracts, with Simply Wall St's fair value estimate aligning with the current price while community estimates show a wide range.

Wells Fargo has reiterated its "Overweight" rating for Century Aluminum (CENX) with a price target of $38.25/share, suggesting a slight downside from its current closing price. The company's projected annual revenue is expected to increase by 19.36%, with institutional ownership showing a bullish outlook despite a small decrease in total shares owned. Major shareholders include Glencore, iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF, and Sourcerock Group.

Century Aluminum (CENX) stock rose after Wells Fargo increased its price target to $46, citing aluminum supply constraints, high power costs, and substitution from copper. The company benefits from U.S. tariffs and record Midwest premiums, with further tailwinds expected from its Mt. Holly restart and 45X incentives. Investors are closely watching policy risks, operational challenges, energy pricing, and shareholder dynamics as key factors influencing the stock's future performance.

Texas Permanent School Fund Corp significantly reduced its stake in Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) by 47.9% in Q2 2025, selling 110,320 shares and retaining 119,809 shares valued at $2.16 million. This reduction aligns with a recent insider sale by SVP Agust F. Hafberg, who sold 9,493 shares, decreasing his ownership by 14.66%. Despite a "Moderate Buy" consensus from analysts with a $33 target, the company recently missed EPS estimates, though revenue showed modest growth.