ALRM Alarm.com Holdings Inc

This article analyzes Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ALRM) focusing on near-term weak sentiment that may lead to resumed long-term weakness. It highlights an exceptional 23.7:1 risk-reward setup, targeting a 7.0% gain versus 0.3% risk, and provides AI-generated trading strategies for different risk profiles. The analysis includes position trading, momentum breakout, and risk hedging strategies, along with multi-timeframe signal analysis.

Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) led vertical software companies in Q3 earnings, reporting strong revenue growth and exceeding analyst expectations, with its stock up 10% since reporting. Other companies like Manhattan Associates, Guidewire Software, and Bentley Systems also had their quarterly results analyzed, showing mixed performances with varying impacts on their stock prices. The article highlights the strong Q3 for vertical software even as many of their share prices have experienced a downturn since earnings results.

Riverbridge Partners LLC decreased its stake in Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) by 7.6% in the third quarter of 2025 by selling 67,276 shares, now holding 815,440 shares valued at approximately $43.28 million. Insider activity for Alarm.com was mixed, with Jeffrey A. Bedell selling shares, while CEO Stephen Trundle increased his stake. The company's recent earnings beat estimates, and it has a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with a target price of $64.67.

Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) reported Q1 earnings of $0.54 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 and last year's $0.50. The company also exceeded revenue expectations, posting $238.82 million against a consensus of $234.33 million. Despite outperforming estimates four times in the last four quarters, ALRM shares have seen a 12.2% decline year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's -4.3%.

Alarm.com insider Jeffrey Bedell sold 22,727 shares of the company's stock for approximately $1.18 million, reducing his holding by 4.3%. The sale occurred on December 16th at an average price of $51.82 per share. Alarm.com recently exceeded quarterly earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $0.76 against an estimated $0.62, and analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with a target price of $64.67.

Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) Director Stephen Evans sold 1,154 shares of the company's stock on December 12th at an average price of $52.27, totaling $60,319.58. This transaction reduced his stake by 15.86% to 6,123 shares. The company recently beat quarterly earnings estimates and provided FY2025 guidance, and institutional investors hold a significant portion of its stock.